You’ll want to stay until the end of this one

Let’s start on the other side of the country

Nor’easters, we covered them a bit before, but here’s some more info.

And here’s some coverage on a recent one.

I know it’s too soon

But we should probably keep an eye on it.

There’s a theme here

We’ve spoken a few times about the importance of hazard communication and how it’s difficult. So I found this paper super timely. If you don’t wanna read it, I understand. Read the Twitter thread for a quick overview or my notes below for an even shorter recap.

• The location and chance of an event were most important across all hazards at the farthest time before the event, meaning people want to know if they’re impacted before caring about things like severity.
• The information people want changes depending on how far they are from the event in time (days vs. minutes) for severe weather events.
• People exposed to fewer hazards generally want protective info more often than those with more experience.

Some of these things might seem obvious, but when you only have a few seconds or minutes to communicate this info, it’s important to give people the right info at the right time.

There’s a scale for that

I know we’ve heard all about atmospheric rivers but I don’t think I’ve mentioned there’s a scale for measuring them. I don’t think it’s officially adopted or used by the NWS, so we don’t hear about it a ton. And while we’re here, this was the most recent AR.

Obligatory Pi Day posts

I suppose it is pretty important.

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February Global Climate Report

We just had the U.S. report, now here’s the global one. There’s a decent amount of info in that report, but you can click the image below to get a quick rundown.

El Niño updates

From the article:

Our forecaster consensus does reflect the increased chance of El Niño, with chances around 60% by the fall. However, the spring predictability barrier, together with the still somewhat-La Niña-ish atmosphere and the lack of strong physical signs such as a large amount of warmer-than-average subsurface water in the tropical Pacific, mean we’re not yet hoisting an El Niño Watch.

See you next time weather fam

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