What's your elevation?
In which we prepare for snow, say hey to Freddy, and attend Science time.
I’m thinking of a word…
That starts with an S and ends in an N-O-W. For real though, here’s a short version of what to expect. It’s worth the 2 minutes.
Here's a quick video update on the the potential for rain, low elevation snow, strong winds, and cold temperatures this week. Keep up with the forecast and stay safe! #cawx
— NWS Bay Area 🌉 (@NWSBayArea) 12:45 PM ∙ Feb 21, 2023
If you want a longer explanation of what’s going to happen with the snow, watch the office hours Daniel Swain held today. You can also read his recent Weather West post.
Consider it saved. My camera batteries are charged and ready too.
Per NWS Bay Area: “SNOSHWR” has entered the Thursday tabular forecast for inland portions of the Bay Area. Save for your Bay Area wx notebooks. #CAwx
— Rob Mayeda (@RobMayeda) 11:42 PM ∙ Feb 19, 2023
If you have subscriptions to the SF Chronicle or the Press Democrat, you can read their articles about this event too.
There’s a lot of coverage out there for this event so it was hard to choose what to include in the newsletter. If you can’t access the videos or articles, here’s my short unofficial take (as in I’m not a climate scientist or meteorologist):
- It’s going to be cold and windy
- There’s a chance of snow, rain, hail, and graupel
- What kind of precipitation you’re going to get depends on where you’re at and how high you are
173 global temperature maps on the wall
173 global temperature maps, take one down, pass it around, 172 global… Yeah it doesn’t work well with that song. Anyway, the maps show the number of degrees (in Fahrenheit) each year was below or above the average from 1991 to 2020.
A key point to communicate
We sometimes want to hear a “yes” or “no” to questions like “Did climate change cause [some weather event] to occur?” The answer is often something like this though.
Human-induced climate change is overlapping w/natural variability to bring significant, anomalous mildness. Today will be 20° above average.
— Matthew Cappucci (@MatthewCappucci) 3:08 PM ∙ Feb 16, 2023
We are at our 3rd warmest year to date on record and had our 3rd warmest January AND are 4.8° above average for February. @fox5dc
It’s the combination or overlap of human-induced climate change and natural variability.
Cyclone Freddy
Cyclone Freddy is on the move.
A very dangerous #CycloneFreddy is heading for #Madagascar.
— MyRadar Weather (@MyRadarWX) 3:50 AM ∙ Feb 20, 2023
It became an exceptional Category 5 equivalent earlier, and remains a monstrous Category 4.
After striking Madagascar midweek, it could cross the Mozambique Channel.
tiktok.com/t/ZTRn1nqFh/
Also Freddy, but from space. Space Freddy.
This incredible video was captured by the International @Space_Station at 11:31 UTC on 17 February 2023. It shows the eye of a tropical cyclone called #Freddy, which is located over the Indian Ocean to the east of Madagascar. It is predicted to hit Madagascar on 21 February.
— World Meteorological Organization (@WMO) 10:18 AM ∙ Feb 20, 2023
You’re getting hot
Nope sorry, getting cold now.
This will be the warmest week so far this year for the Deep South; temperatures could exceed 80 degrees by Wednesday and Thursday. Morning briefing: youtube.com/live/6iboBcO3r…
— James Spann (@spann) 11:54 AM ∙ Feb 20, 2023
People in the record cold be like:
Hang in there...💀
— MyRadar Weather (@MyRadarWX) 4:36 PM ∙ Feb 20, 2023
The latest on La Niña
La Niña is still in place but it looks like it’s starting to weaken. From that latest update I linked to “Forecasters think Pacific climate will return to ENSO-neutral within a couple of months”.
Some Kelvin-Helmholtz clouds for you
Sheridan,Wyoming @spann @WeatherNation @CSTribune @NWSBillings @NWSRiverton https://t.co/Zk2SkO6vd1
— Matt (@MGra1973) 1:01 AM ∙ Feb 21, 2023
I love science time!
Science time!
— Stormchasernick (@stormchasernick) 10:00 PM ∙ Feb 20, 2023
Why do some people get snow and other people get sleet/freezing rain/plain rain?
The answer is simple.
It depends on your location.
Never stop learning.
That’s it for now
See you on the other side. Stay safe all!
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